Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-23 0.002857 0.002988 0.003121 0.003267 0.003423 0.003584 0.003763
2025-03-02 0.002652 0.002851 0.003061 0.003301 0.003567 0.003854 0.004188
2025-03-09 0.002494 0.002732 0.002989 0.003289 0.003633 0.004015 0.004474
2025-03-16 0.002367 0.002630 0.002920 0.003267 0.003673 0.004136 0.004709
2025-03-23 0.002247 0.002526 0.002840 0.003221 0.003676 0.004206 0.004878
2025-03-30 0.002147 0.002439 0.002771 0.003182 0.003681 0.004272 0.005038
2025-04-06 0.002082 0.002387 0.002740 0.003183 0.003729 0.004390 0.005263
2025-04-13 0.001970 0.002276 0.002633 0.003085 0.003651 0.004346 0.005278
2025-04-20 0.001921 0.002237 0.002610 0.003089 0.003697 0.004455 0.005492
2025-04-27 0.001896 0.002226 0.002620 0.003132 0.003792 0.004629 0.005796
2025-05-04 0.001838 0.002172 0.002574 0.003103 0.003792 0.004677 0.005933
2025-05-11 0.001790 0.002128 0.002539 0.003085 0.003805 0.004742 0.006093
2025-05-18 0.001739 0.002080 0.002498 0.003058 0.003806 0.004793 0.006236
2025-05-25 0.001717 0.002067 0.002501 0.003089 0.003884 0.004949 0.006537
2025-06-01 0.001678 0.002032 0.002474 0.003078 0.003905 0.005027 0.006725
2025-06-08 0.001637 0.001993 0.002441 0.003059 0.003912 0.005084 0.006886
2025-06-15 0.001590 0.001944 0.002393 0.003016 0.003885 0.005092 0.006972
2025-06-22 0.001548 0.001901 0.002350 0.002980 0.003866 0.005109 0.007071
2025-06-29 0.001522 0.001878 0.002335 0.002981 0.003898 0.005201 0.007287
2025-07-06 0.001462 0.001810 0.002257 0.002892 0.003799 0.005096 0.007191
2025-07-13 0.001441 0.001791 0.002245 0.002895 0.003832 0.005188 0.007410
2025-07-20 0.001434 0.001792 0.002260 0.002935 0.003919 0.005362 0.007769
2025-07-27 0.001403 0.001759 0.002228 0.002908 0.003907 0.005386 0.007882